# @scotpilie_wx on TikTok

- **Type:** Video
- **Original URL:** https://www.tiktok.com/@scotpilie_wx/video/7527358601963375886
- **Gondola URL:** https://gondola.cc/posts/32509277-scotpilie-wx-tiktok
- **Thumbnail:** https://img.gondola.cc/tr:w-,h-,fo-auto/postThumbnails/ae8a6f401d.jpg
- **Posted:** 2025-07-15T17:16:36.000+00:00

## Caption

INVEST 93L LONG READ🌀: Named storm or not, the main concern will be heavy rain & flash flood risk from this system.  The good news? This disturbance remains disorganized as it comes ashore in Florida.  The bad news? It may have a second life in the northern Gulf before heading towards Louisiana by Thursday-Saturday. Brief window of marginally conducive conditions for slow organization. Overnight models continue to show little development. Most guidance remains unenthused with a tropical depression or weak tropical storm #Dexter before moving inland to Louisiana by Thursday-Saturday. It is appears unlikely that this becomes a hurricane.  If heading on a beach trip, from Gulf Shores to Panama City, I would NOT cancel your trip. Elevated rain coverage Wednesday-Thursday, but it doesnt look like a washout. For Louisiana, as system heads west, heavy rain will be main threat, regardless of whether Dexter forms.  This deep surge of tropical moisture looks to enhance rainfall chances and may fuel an increased flash flood risk, especially Thursday-Friday as it slows down. The Weather Prediction Center has already placed a Moderate(Level 3 out of 4) for excessive rain & flash flooding in Louisiana on Friday. Exact rain totals will be fined tuned, but hot spots of 6-8+” possible along this system’s path. Stay tuned. #TropicalStorm #TropicalStormDexter #HurricaneSeason #Hurricane #Flooding #NewOrleansWeather #WeatherTok #HurricaneTok #NewOrleans #BatonRouge #Lafayette 

## Stats

- **Views:** 417,900
- **Likes:** 13,700
- **Shares:** 2,896
- **Comments:** 324

## Tags

weathertok, flooding, lafayette, hurricane, hurricaneseason, batonrouge, dexter, tropicalstormdexter, tropicalstorm, neworleansweather, hurricanetok, neworleans

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