# @thewrap on Instagram

- **Type:** Video
- **Original URL:** https://www.instagram.com/p/DUZbGo6DdXP
- **Gondola URL:** https://gondola.cc/posts/55598677-thewrap-instagram
- **Thumbnail:** https://img.gondola.cc/tr:w-,h-,fo-auto/postThumbnails/fb2ac96096.jpg
- **Posted:** 2026-02-06T01:01:18.000+00:00
- **Account Owner:** The Wrap (@thewrap) — https://gondola.cc/thewrap

## Caption

#TheVotingBooth: #Sinners shattered the Oscar nomination record, but does that actually put it on track for a Best Picture win? The answer is less destiny, more coin flip.

TheWrap Awards Reporter caseymlov breaks down nearly a century of Academy Awards history to explain why leading in nominations no longer guarantees taking home the top prize, and how recent decades have quietly rewritten the odds.

Awards season is complicated. The Voting Booth makes it make sense. Sign up here ➡️ thewrap.com/awards-tracker

## Stats

- **Views:** 374
- **Likes:** 0
- **Shares:** 0
- **Comments:** 0

## Tags

sinners, thevotingbooth

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