# @tastyliveshow on YouTube

- **Type:** Video
- **Original URL:** https://youtube.com/watch?v=6rwjrQsK8P4
- **Gondola URL:** https://gondola.cc/posts/65275792-tastyliveshow-youtube
- **Thumbnail:** https://img.gondola.cc/tr:w-,h-,fo-auto/postThumbnails/07dd2b0d56.jpg
- **Posted:** 2026-05-09T00:00:06.000+00:00
- **Account Owner:** tastylive (@tastyliveshow) — https://gondola.cc/tastyliveshow

## Caption

Bitcoin is at 80K and Ethereum is at 2300. Some people are calling for Bitcoin at 200K and Ethereum at 12K. These sound like impossible numbers until you actually look at what the options market is pricing.

Using IBIT and ETHA on the tastytrade platform, this Options Math Check breaks down the real probability data from now through December 2027 and into 2028. At 80K Bitcoin, there is a 10% probability and 20% probability of touch that we reach 160K by end of 2027. The 200K calls are not zero bid. Neither are the ETHA 55 strike calls for a 300% rally in Ethereum. The market is not dismissing these targets, and the options chain shows exactly how much speculation is already priced in.

Helpful links:
tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/
FREE tasytlive Newsletters: https://info.tastylive.com/newsletters
FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 
Follow tastylive on X (Twitter): https://x.com/tastyliveshow

CHAPTERS:
00:00 Market Setup: Narrow Rally, Micron Up 13%, VIX Calm
00:29 Could a Rotation Into Crypto Be Next?
00:54 Bitcoin at 80K, Ethereum at 2300: What Does 200K Require?
01:15 IBIT: $45 Product, 50% IV, 15 Million Shares Traded Today
01:57 Wheel Strategy and Premium Selling on IBIT
02:23 December 2026: 26% Probability, 55% Probability of Touch at 96K BTC
03:25 December 2027: 10% Probability IBIT Doubles to 90 ($160K Bitcoin)
04:24 December 2028: Probabilities Jump Substantially at 80 Strike
05:09 Ethereum via ETHA: Already Doubled and Come Back Down
05:35 What a 6x in ETHA Means in Ethereum Price Terms ($12K Target)
06:10 Jan 2027 ETHA 55 Calls: Not Zero Bid for a 300% Ethereum Rally
07:05 Jan 2028: $1 Options at the 60 Strike, 5% Probability of Touch
07:35 Final Take: The Market Is Not Dismissing These Targets

#optionsmathcheck #bitcoin #ethereum #cryptonews #bitcoinpriceprediction #ibit #etha #bitcoinprice #cryptotrading #tastylive

tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we’ll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. 

tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. (“tastylive”) and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. 

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims (including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. 

tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.

## Stats

- **Views:** 716
- **Likes:** 23
- **Shares:** 0
- **Comments:** 1

## Tags

bitcoin, optionsmathcheck, etha, cryptonews, bitcoinprice, ibit, tastylive, ethereum, bitcoinpriceprediction, cryptotrading

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