# @justbaseballmedia on Instagram

- **Type:** Image
- **Original URL:** https://www.instagram.com/p/DeE-cZmlgca
- **Gondola URL:** https://gondola.cc/posts/71426141-justbaseballmedia-instagram
- **Thumbnail:** https://img.gondola.cc/tr:w-,h-,fo-auto/postThumbnails/1efcc24e2e.jpg
- **Posted:** 2026-10-04T15:39:07.000+00:00
- **Account Owner:** Just Baseball Media (@justbaseballmedia) — https://gondola.cc/justbaseballmedia

## Caption

Did the Padres get robbed? 

The Ballpark Pal model gave Ty France’s fly ball a 9% HR chance based on how it left the bat, and a 4% chance after factoring in the park and closed roof

This accounts for exit velocity, launch angle, direction, pitch type, and handedness of the batter and pitcher

Fly ball distance still varies a lot even after accounting for these things

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#baseball #mlb #mlbnews #majorleaguebaseball  #sandiegopadres

## Stats

- **Views:** 0
- **Likes:** 2,197
- **Shares:** 0
- **Comments:** 245

## Tags

sandiegopadres, baseball, mlbnews, majorleaguebaseball, mlb

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