By Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Nov. 5 — Election Day — millions more will join them. Their votes will matter more than ever: According to 538’s forecasts for the White House, U.S. Senate and U.S. House, control of the federal government is firmly up for grabs. Our final model (published at 6 a.m. ET on Nov. 5) gives Republicans a roughly 9-in-10 chance of winning control of the Senate, while the House and presidency are both toss-ups. The race for the White House, in fact, may be the closest presidential election in over a century. Read more at the link in bio.