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@fivethirtyeight
Winning the House of Representatives was supposed to be a gimme for Republicans this year. Democrats’ current majority is just eight seats. And since the end of World War II, the president’s party has lost 26 House seats in the average midterm election. And while Republicans are still favored to flip the chamber, they are no longer the sure bets they once were. That’s because the national political environment has improved for Democrats, likely partially due to the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade and end the constitutional right to abortion. According to the Deluxe version of the FiveThirtyEight forecast, Republicans have a 73-in-100 chance of taking control of the House, and Democrats have a 30-in-100 chance. -- #houseofrepresentatives #2022elections #tippingpoint

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