How much rain is going to fall from this Gulf system? Checks notes. There's a WIDE array of potential outcomes with this one. However, one thing I don't enjoy seeing from guidance today is the "barney blob" or "barney bullseye" with the potential of localized 6-10+" from some of our trusted forecast models. (Many models currently highlighting Louisiana as the hot spot to watch for heavy rain threat mid-late week into this upcoming weekend.) What you're looking at below is called the 'Ensemble Models' from the latest European Model. I like to say that ensembles are a fancy way of shuffling your hand when playing a card game. Each ensemble model run showcases slightly different environmental conditions that can lead to different scenarios playing out. Thus, each scenario places the bullseye of heaviest rain in a different location. The takeaway? Whether #Dexter forms or not, heavy rain, flash flood risk & increased tides Wednesday-Saturday along the north Gulf Coast. Exact rainfall tota...