BIG fan of this trend⬇️ Quite a sharp drop off in the number of eurpoean ensemble models developing #Invest91L! Check out the difference between yesterday and today’s guidance. Remember, this is a smaller feature presently. That means model guidance will struggle with more volatile swings in projected intensity, and we can’t write it off just yet. NHC remains bullish with a 90% probability of formation over the next 7 days. Let’s hope we see that number drop in subsequent updates. #gabrielle #hurricane #tropics #hurricaneseason