Bitcoin is at 80K and Ethereum is at 2300. Some people are calling for Bitcoin at 200K and Ethereum at 12K. These sound like impossible numbers until you actually look at what the options market is pricing.
Using IBIT and ETHA on the tastytrade platform, this Options Math Check breaks down the real probability data from now through December 2027 and into 2028. At 80K Bitcoin, there is a 10% probability and 20% probability of touch that we reach 160K by end of 2027. The 200K calls are not zero bid. Neither are the ETHA 55 strike calls for a 300% rally in Ethereum. The market is not dismissing these targets, and the options chain shows exactly how much speculation is already priced in.
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CHAPTERS:
00:00 Market Setup: Narrow Rally, Micron Up 13%, VIX C...