Crude oil already absorbed the Iran war shock. The pre-war lows near $63 became a level the market clearly respects. Chris Vecchio is selling a defined risk put spread just below that support using micro WTI crude oil options from @cmegroup Sell the 62 buy the 60. If oil holds the spread works. If $63 breaks with momentum manage immediately.
This is not a bet on a rally. It is a defined risk trade built on the idea that a support level can matter. Take profit around 50% and move on.
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Chapters
0:00 Why sell a put spread in oil after it has been falling
0:23 The thesis: pre-war lows near $63 are the floor
0:46 The trade: sell 62 put buy 60 put $2 wide
1:27 Why $63 matters after the Iran war shock
2:00 IVR below 30 but raw vol still near 50%
2:47 T...