Someone used Fable 5 to analyze around 50,000 football matches, and the result makes Argentina’s comeback look almost impossible.
The analysis found that teams trailing 2-0 with only 11 minutes left have won in regulation just 16 times out of 10,138 matches.
That gives Argentina’s comeback a probability of only 0.16%.
Their 3-2 win over Egypt came after late goals from Cristian Romero, Lionel Messi, and Enzo Fernández, turning a near-certain defeat into one of the rarest comebacks in football history.
It didn’t just keep Argentina’s World Cup campaign alive.
It created the kind of match people will be analyzing for years.
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