Wall Street cannot agree on Tesla. One analyst has a 25 dollar target, another has 485, and the stock just fell about 14 percent after earnings, nearly double its implied move. It is down roughly 130 points in two weeks and printing lows it has not seen since last year. The Math Check is the gap between implied and realized: in two weeks Tesla has already blown through the range the options priced for the next 400-plus days. Odder still, even in the crash the options carry call skew, a quiet bet on a bounce. With implied volatility near the low 50s and realized outrunning it, the case is for defined risk. 📊 tastylive: tastylive.com 📰 Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: tastylive.com/newsletters 📘 FREE Options Strategy Guide: tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 📱 Follow tastylive on X: x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 00:00 Wall Street can't agree on Tesla 00:48 The chart, a relentless slide 01:46 The SpaceX liquidity exodus 02:47 Realized vol blows...