Dustin Gallagher of The Closing Line joins Errol on Risk and Reward to explain how prediction markets actually function, and why they look a lot more like an exchange than a sportsbook. On a prediction market you trade against other participants rather than a single house, you can use limit orders, and you can close a position early as long as someone will take the other side.
š tastylive:
tastylive.com
š° Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning:
tastylive.com/newsletters
š FREE Options Strategy Guide:
tinyurl.com/bp9ms763
š± Follow tastylive on X:
x.com/tastyliveshow
Chapters
00:00 From poker to prediction markets
00:45 Trading, not gambling
00:49 What an event contract is
02:22 How the volume grew
04:04 Where it looks like day trading
05:19 Speculation is most of the activity
06:26 Could you hedge a portfolio with it
08:07 Stock perps may be coming
08:31 The misconceptions
09:55 Why it is not a truth machine
11:10 Trade small, trade o...